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Pro player picks6/28/2023 ![]() Here’s a quick explanation of the factors that currently do influence our NFL preseason ratings: However, the quality of draft classes three and four years ago does seem to make a difference, presumably because it takes a few years for the most talented rookies to develop into higher performers.) (For example, we have not found a strong correlation between the quality of a team’s most recent draft class and its upcoming season performance. But often times, those types of theories can’t be clearly substantiated by historical data. Anyone can build plausible-sounding narratives that attempt to presage why an NFL team might be good or bad this season (great draft class, motivated from losing in the playoffs last year, etc.). ![]() Just as importantly, we’ve worked to identify and ignore often-cited information that actually has little to no predictive value. Using more than a decade of NFL data, we’ve identified team-level stats and characteristics that are highly correlated with success in an upcoming NFL season. Chicago: The Bears did little to address their offensive issues this offseason, and pessimism surrounding Chicago has continued a slide in the betting market for its season win total.Cleveland: The betting market has continued to sour on Cleveland, in light of the NFL’s appeal of QB Deshaun Watson’s six-game suspension, and an eventual settlement on 11 games.In addition, RB Alvin Kamara seems less likely to be suspended this season as his court hearing has been continued again, though he could be facing a suspension by next year. New Orleans: An overhaul of last year’s dismal receiving corps compared to last year includes generally positive reports on WR Michael Thomas, drafting WR Chris Olave in the first round, and signing veteran WR Jarvis Landry this summer. ![]() Carolina: The Panthers traded for QB Baker Mayfield, improving their outlook.Brown during the NFL Draft, and there is more optimism that the passing offense could be improved. Philadelphia: The Eagles traded for WR A.J.The biggest rating movement since May involves the following teams: ![]() The “SINCE MAY” column presents a team’s rating change since the initial May release of our NFL preseason ratings. The team ratings are expressed as points better (positive rating) or worse (negative rating) than a “perfectly average” NFL team, when playing on a neutral field. The table below shows our 2022 preseason ranking for all 32 NFL teams, along with each team’s associated predictive rating (e.g. Get Picks Now Free Access Offers Available 2022 NFL Preseason Rankings Here is what you can find in this article: This post documents our official 2022 NFL preseason predictions and rankings, including a preseason rating for each team, projected end of season records and standings, odds to make the playoffs, and more.įor the second year in a row, we initially released our NFL preseason predictions and rankings in early May, after the NFL schedule was released and soon after the NFL Draft.īetween then and now, though, plenty of injuries, trades, and other developments have occurred that led us to refine our numbers.īarring any big and surprising news in the week left before the first game of NFL Week 1, this post reflects our “official” predictions for the 2022 NFL season. The Rams will try to repeat as champs, but it's a wide open race in 2022.
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